{"id":9638,"date":"2019-09-10T13:54:40","date_gmt":"2019-09-10T18:54:40","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/enlacescorporativos.com\/?p=9638"},"modified":"2019-09-10T13:54:40","modified_gmt":"2019-09-10T18:54:40","slug":"2021-sera-el-ano-mas-critico-para-mexico-moodys","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/enlacescorporativos.com\/en\/2019\/09\/10\/2021-sera-el-ano-mas-critico-para-mexico-moodys\/","title":{"rendered":"2021 ser\u00e1 el a\u00f1o m\u00e1s cr\u00edtico para M\u00e9xico: Moody\u2019s"},"content":{"rendered":"<div><img src='https:\/\/cdn.forbes.com.mx\/2019\/08\/Billete-2.jpg' style='max-width:600px;' \/><\/p>\n<div>\n<p><a rel=\"nofollow\" href=\"https:\/\/www.forbes.com.mx\">Forbes M\u00e9xico<\/a>.<br \/>\n <a rel=\"nofollow\" href=\"https:\/\/www.forbes.com.mx\/2021-sera-el-ano-mas-critico-para-mexico-moodys\/\">2021 ser\u00e1 el a\u00f1o m\u00e1s cr\u00edtico para M\u00e9xico: Moody\u2019s<\/a><\/p>\n<div><img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"2063\" height=\"1160\" src=\"https:\/\/cdn.forbes.com.mx\/2019\/08\/Billete-2.jpg\" class=\"attachment-full size-full wp-post-image\" alt=\"Imagen: Ang\u00e9lica Escobar\/Forbes M\u00e9xico.\" style=\"margin-bottom: 15px;\" srcset=\"https:\/\/cdn.forbes.com.mx\/2019\/08\/Billete-2.jpg 2063w, https:\/\/cdn.forbes.com.mx\/2019\/08\/Billete-2-300x169.jpg 300w, https:\/\/cdn.forbes.com.mx\/2019\/08\/Billete-2-768x432.jpg 768w, https:\/\/cdn.forbes.com.mx\/2019\/08\/Billete-2-1024x576.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/cdn.forbes.com.mx\/2019\/08\/Billete-2-600x337.jpg 600w, https:\/\/cdn.forbes.com.mx\/2019\/08\/Billete-2-200x112.jpg 200w, https:\/\/cdn.forbes.com.mx\/2019\/08\/Billete-2-1280x720.jpg 1280w, https:\/\/cdn.forbes.com.mx\/2019\/08\/Billete-2-640x360.jpg 640w, https:\/\/cdn.forbes.com.mx\/2019\/08\/Billete-2-320x180.jpg 320w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 2063px) 100vw, 2063px\" data-full-size=\"https:\/\/cdn.forbes.com.mx\/2019\/08\/Billete-2.jpg\" data-caption=\"Imagen: Ang\u00e9lica Escobar\/Forbes M\u00e9xico.\" data-description=\"moneda, dinero, peso, billete\" \/><\/div>\n<p>El presupuesto para 2020 demuestra que el gobierno se mantiene en una postura firme para no incrementar la deuda, sin embargo, la combinaci\u00f3n de bajo crecimiento y recortes al gasto de gobierno pueden presionar la din\u00e1mica econ\u00f3mica y fiscal del pa\u00eds hacia 2021, cuando se deber\u00e1 enfrentar un dilema entre gastar m\u00e1s o mantener el nivel de deuda estable.<\/p>\n<p>\u201c2021 puede ser el a\u00f1o m\u00e1s dificil, si continuan como hasta ahora, puede ser un a\u00f1o todav\u00eda m\u00e1s critico por la acumulaci\u00f3n de bajo crecimiento y recortes a un presupuesto que ya es de entrada relativamente austero\u201d, dijo en conferencia de prensa Ariane Ortiz, analista soberano de Moody\u2019s para M\u00e9xico.<\/p>\n<p>Desde junio, Moody\u2019s coloc\u00f3 la nota de M\u00e9xico (A3) en revisi\u00f3n negativa debido al peso del apoyo financiero que el soberano debe dar a Pemex y al debilitamiento en el ritmo de crecimiento econ\u00f3mico.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cLo anunciado no es un cambio material, est\u00e1 en l\u00ednea con lo que esper\u00e1bamos\u201d, dijo la analista con respecto al paquete econ\u00f3mico para 2020.<\/p>\n<p>El gobierno mexicano prev\u00e9 un crecimiento de entre 1.5 y 2.5% para 2020, por su parte, la calificadora prev\u00e9 un crecimiento de 1.5% en su escenario m\u00e1s optimista.<\/p>\n<p>Adem\u00e1s, escenario planteado en el Paquete Econ\u00f3mico supone un aumento de 2% en la recaudaci\u00f3n de impuestos, una meta poco probable desde la perspectiva de Moody\u2019s.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cSi el gobierno mantiene su postura de no endeudarse lo que ocurrir\u00e1 ser\u00e1 un mayor recorte al gasto o un subejercicio\u201d, explic\u00f3 Ariane Ortiz.<\/p>\n<p>Las dificultades, explica la analista, surgir\u00e1n porque el gobierno puede quedarse sin espacio para m\u00e1s recortes al gasto (o sin ahorros una vez que haya utilizado los recursos del fondo de estabilizaci\u00f3n), por lo que ser\u00eda necesario tomar m\u00e1s deuda.<\/p>\n<p><em><strong>Lee tambi\u00e9n:\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.forbes.com.mx\/herrera-entrega-paquete-economico-responsable-al-congreso\/\">Herrera entrega paquete econ\u00f3mico &#8216;responsable&#8217; al Congreso<\/a><\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n<p><a rel=\"nofollow\" href=\"https:\/\/www.forbes.com.mx\/2021-sera-el-ano-mas-critico-para-mexico-moodys\/\">2021 ser\u00e1 el a\u00f1o m\u00e1s cr\u00edtico para M\u00e9xico: Moody\u2019s<\/a><br \/>\n<a rel=\"nofollow\" href=\"https:\/\/www.forbes.com.mx\/author\/viridiana-mendoza\/\">Viridiana Mendoza Escamilla<\/a><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Forbes M\u00e9xico. 2021 ser\u00e1 el a\u00f1o m\u00e1s cr\u00edtico para M\u00e9xico: Moody\u2019s El presupuesto para 2020 demuestra que el gobierno se mantiene en una postura firme para no incrementar la deuda, sin embargo, la combinaci\u00f3n de bajo crecimiento y recortes al gasto de gobierno pueden presionar la din\u00e1mica econ\u00f3mica y fiscal del pa\u00eds hacia 2021, cuando [&hellip;]<\/p>","protected":false},"author":91,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"site-sidebar-layout":"default","site-content-layout":"","ast-site-content-layout":"","site-content-style":"default","site-sidebar-style":"default","ast-global-header-display":"","ast-banner-title-visibility":"","ast-main-header-display":"","ast-hfb-above-header-display":"","ast-hfb-below-header-display":"","ast-hfb-mobile-header-display":"","site-post-title":"","ast-breadcrumbs-content":"","ast-featured-img":"","footer-sml-layout":"","theme-transparent-header-meta":"","adv-header-id-meta":"","stick-header-meta":"","header-above-stick-meta":"","header-main-stick-meta":"","header-below-stick-meta":"","astra-migrate-meta-layouts":"default","ast-page-background-enabled":"default","ast-page-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"ast-content-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-9638","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/enlacescorporativos.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/9638","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/enlacescorporativos.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/enlacescorporativos.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enlacescorporativos.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/91"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enlacescorporativos.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=9638"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/enlacescorporativos.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/9638\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/enlacescorporativos.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=9638"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enlacescorporativos.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=9638"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enlacescorporativos.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=9638"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}